Ken Ashby's AccuRatings

NCAA FBS (Div. I-A) Football AccuRatings

Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2004 Selected as component of Ray Waits' "Superlist", 2005-2008 Season Champion (of 295) in RSFC College Football Pool for 2007 Beck's "Most Accurate Predictor" (independent system) in 2011 Ranked # 1 by John Wobus Combo-6 in Week-Zero for 2013 & 2014 Beck's "Smallest Deviation from Game Scores" in 2nd-Half 2014 Ranked # 1 by Wobus Correlations in Week-Zero for 2015

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***** Ken Ashby's NCAA FBS (Div. I-A) Football AccuRatings through Saturday, December 9, 2017 (Week 14+) NCAA Football Home Advantage = 3 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 3 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Conf W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 2 Georgia SECe 12-1 .976 8 11 2 74-23 2 3 Clemson ACCa 12-1 .974 16 6 3 76-25 3 1 Wisconsin BTw 12-1 .960 47 15 4 73-22 4 4 Alabama SECw 11-1 .958 40 5 1 78-25 5 6 Oklahoma B12 12-1 .958 28 1 22 73-37 6 5 Auburn SECw 10-3 .940 2 13 5 72-24 7 10 Ohio St BTe 11-2 .938 25 3 9 74-31 8 11 Southern Cal PACs 11-2 .930 12 14 20 67-30 9 8 Penn St BTe 10-2 .928 52 4 10 73-31 10 9 Notre Dame Xind 9-3 .928 3 8 18 68-31 11 7 Miami-Florida ACCc 10-2 .920 20 29 14 64-24 12 13 Washington PACn 10-2 .911 61 12 6 71-25 13 14 Central Florida AAe 12-0 .907 89 9 42 63-35 14 12 TCU B12 10-3 .892 33 20 7 67-24 15 16 Michigan St BTe 9-3 .875 15 63 17 58-20 16 15 Stanford PACn 9-4 .867 6 25 13 66-24 17 17 Oklahoma St B12 9-3 .863 46 2 43 67-40 18 18 LSU SECw 9-3 .861 36 38 11 64-22 19 19 Virginia Tech ACCc 9-3 .844 62 40 8 65-21 20 20 Washington St PACn 9-3 .840 37 23 29 61-29 21 21 Michigan BTe 8-4 .833 24 34 12 64-23 22 22 Northwestern BTw 9-3 .833 54 43 19 61-24 23 24 N Carolina St ACCa 8-4 .828 18 28 27 61-28 24 23 Mississippi St SECw 8-4 .821 34 21 24 62-28 25 27 Boise St MWm 10-3 .789 69 35 36 58-29 26 26 Iowa BTw 7-5 .785 13 42 15 62-23 27 25 Memphis AAw 10-2 .785 81 7 84 58-41 28 28 Louisville ACCa 8-4 .774 58 10 41 63-35 29 30 Wake Forest ACCa 7-5 .769 11 31 33 59-29 30 29 Iowa St B12 7-5 .768 27 44 25 59-25 31 31 Boston College ACCa 7-5 .765 5 57 23 57-22 32 32 South Carolina SECe 8-4 .761 38 69 26 56-22 33 33 San Diego St MWw 10-2 .739 93 61 30 55-24 34 35 Toledo MACw 11-2 .733 100 24 66 56-34 35 34 Arizona St PACs 7-5 .727 21 27 61 56-33 36 36 South Florida AAe 9-2 .704 108 22 54 57-33 37 37 Fresno St MWw 9-4 .680 76 84 37 52-22 38 38 Texas A&M SECw 7-5 .679 39 36 44 56-30 39 39 Oregon PACn 7-5 .677 57 17 53 58-34 40 40 West Virginia B12 7-5 .676 43 26 52 56-32 41 43 Florida St ACCa 6-6 .676 9 39 16 62-24 42 42 Purdue BTw 6-6 .670 26 67 32 54-24 43 41 Texas B12 6-6 .669 29 46 21 60-24 44 44 UCLA PACs 6-6 .657 4 30 68 55-33 45 45 Georgia Tech ACCc 5-6 .648 14 37 35 58-28 46 47 Kentucky SECe 7-5 .645 49 53 59 52-29 47 51 Florida Atl USAe 10-3 .643 107 45 80 51-33 48 46 Utah PACs 6-6 .639 41 47 28 58-25 49 48 Arizona PACs 7-5 .630 65 16 90 54-39 50 49 Kansas St B12 7-5 .627 64 41 39 57-28 51 50 Missouri SECe 7-5 .623 66 18 70 56-36 52 56 Troy SunB 10-2 .609 124 71 45 51-26 53 52 Houston AAw 7-4 .601 77 66 38 54-24 54 53 Texas Tech B12 6-6 .598 30 19 89 54-39 55 54 Duke ACCc 6-6 .586 53 64 34 54-24 56 59 Army Xind 9-3 .581 102 88 47 49-24 57 58 California PACn 5-7 .561 22 48 58 53-30 58 55 Mississippi SECw 6-6 .560 56 32 82 52-35 59 60 Virginia ACCc 6-6 .529 50 85 64 48-26 60 57 Navy AAw 6-6 .521 63 60 56 51-28 61 62 Northern Ill MACw 8-4 .520 101 75 55 50-26 62 61 Pittsburgh ACCc 5-7 .512 32 50 63 52-30 63 63 SMU AAw 7-5 .506 82 33 106 48-39 64 64 Indiana BTe 5-7 .499 51 56 49 52-28 65 65 Central Mich MACw 8-4 .488 92 87 83 45-28 66 66 Florida SECe 4-7 .476 17 68 31 54-24 67 68 Ohio U MACe 8-4 .467 121 55 72 50-30 68 69 Minnesota BTw 5-7 .459 59 86 40 51-22 69 70 Colorado St MWm 7-5 .450 95 49 81 50-33 70 73 Vanderbilt SECe 5-7 .446 55 78 62 49-26 71 71 Nebraska BTw 4-8 .445 7 54 78 49-31 72 72 Colorado PACs 5-7 .444 60 62 46 52-27 73 74 Maryland BTe 4-8 .439 1 73 88 46-30 74 75 Syracuse ACCa 4-8 .436 19 52 74 50-31 75 67 North Texas USAw 9-4 .435 106 79 110 42-34 76 78 Appalachian St SunB 8-4 .430 125 76 51 50-26 77 77 Temple AAe 6-6 .410 75 89 65 47-25 78 80 Marshall USAe 7-5 .402 113 101 57 46-23 79 79 Wyoming MWm 7-5 .402 99 104 50 46-22 80 84 Florida Int USAe 8-4 .388 122 103 101 39-28 81 81 Utah St MWm 6-6 .382 88 74 79 47-29 82 76 Arkansas St SunB 7-4 .378 126 59 77 49-30 83 83 Arkansas SECw 4-8 .366 31 51 91 48-33 84 82 Akron MACe 7-6 .360 86 107 85 41-25 85 85 Tennessee SECe 4-8 .346 42 82 67 48-26 86 86 Tulane AAw 5-7 .337 74 100 76 44-25 87 87 Southern Miss USAw 8-4 .327 127 90 92 44-29 88 88 Western Mich MACw 6-6 .321 97 58 86 48-32 89 89 Rutgers BTe 4-8 .316 48 109 75 42-23 90 90 UA-Birmingham USAw 8-4 .307 130 102 104 39-29 91 91 Buffalo MACe 6-6 .302 109 105 93 40-26 92 93 North Carolina ACCc 3-9 .279 45 72 69 48-28 93 94 Eastern Mich MACw 5-7 .276 96 96 71 45-25 94 95 Louisiana Tech USAw 6-6 .274 119 81 95 44-30 95 96 Air Force MWm 5-7 .268 83 65 102 44-34 96 97 Middle Tenn USAe 6-6 .255 118 91 94 43-28 97 99 UN-Las Vegas MWw 5-7 .248 94 83 117 40-34 98 98 UT-San Antonio USAw 6-5 .243 129 113 60 43-20 99 101 New Mexico St SunB 6-6 .234 117 95 116 38-32 100 92 Georgia St SunB 6-5 .227 120 122 99 34-23 101 100 Miami-Ohio MACe 5-7 .215 115 108 73 42-23 102 102 Brigham Young Xind 4-9 .200 72 110 48 44-19 103 103 Nevada MWw 3-9 .184 70 97 100 41-29 104 105 Cincinnati AAe 4-8 .176 78 116 98 37-25 105 104 Baylor B12 1-11 .174 23 80 87 45-30 106 107 La-Monroe SunB 4-8 .166 87 77 128 37-38 107 109 East Carolina AAe 3-9 .161 67 93 127 34-36 108 110 Western Ky USAe 6-6 .161 128 92 105 40-30 109 111 Illinois BTw 2-10 .155 44 119 96 37-24 110 112 Oregon St PACn 1-11 .151 10 94 108 40-31 111 106 Massachusetts Xind 4-8 .150 103 98 112 38-31 112 114 Old Dominion USAe 5-7 .150 114 115 113 35-28 113 108 La-Lafayette SunB 5-7 .148 110 111 122 33-31 114 113 Tulsa AAw 2-10 .144 68 70 111 43-35 115 115 Connecticut AAe 3-9 .141 71 118 109 35-26 116 116 New Mexico MWm 3-9 .131 84 106 107 38-29 117 117 South Alabama SunB 4-8 .114 112 125 97 35-21 118 122 Idaho SunB 4-8 .111 123 120 103 36-25 119 118 Kansas B12 1-11 .111 35 114 120 33-30 120 119 Bowling Green MACe 2-10 .089 79 99 123 35-34 121 120 Hawaii MWw 3-9 .082 98 112 119 33-30 122 125 CoastalCarolina SunB 3-9 .073 111 117 118 33-28 123 123 Kent St MACe 2-10 .067 73 128 114 29-23 124 121 Ga Southern SunB 2-10 .061 91 121 115 33-27 125 124 San Jose St MWw 2-11 .057 80 124 129 27-29 126 126 Ball St MACw 2-10 .037 104 123 130 26-31 127 127 Texas St SunB 2-10 .035 116 127 126 25-27 128 128 Rice USAw 1-11 .034 90 126 121 28-26 129 129 Charlotte USAe 1-11 .020 105 129 124 24-24 130 130 UT-El Paso USAw 0-12 .017 85 130 125 23-24 *****