Ken Ashby's AccuRatings

NCAA FBS (Div. I-A) Football AccuRatings

Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2004 Selected as component of Ray Waits' "Superlist", 2005-2008 Season Champion of RSFC College Football Pool for 2007 Beck's "Most Accurate Predictor" (independent system) in 2011

Return to homepage

***** Ken Ashby's NCAA FBS (Div. I-A) Football AccuRatings through Saturday, October 25, 2014 (Week 9) NCAA Football Home Advantage = 3 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 3 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Conf W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 1 Mississippi SECw 7-1 .965 4 18 1 72-21 2 2 Auburn SECw 6-1 .963 2 3 4 74-31 3 3 Alabama SECw 7-1 .962 9 7 2 76-25 4 4 Mississippi St SECw 7-0 .954 27 12 6 69-28 5 5 Florida St ACCa 7-0 .938 49 5 13 70-32 6 6 Georgia SECe 6-1 .932 22 6 18 70-33 7 7 Oregon PACn 7-1 .932 37 1 19 73-36 8 8 TCU B12 6-1 .920 45 9 9 69-30 9 9 Oklahoma B12 5-2 .917 8 8 5 71-29 10 10 Ohio St BTe 6-1 .906 51 4 21 70-34 11 11 Notre Dame Xind 6-1 .900 24 32 8 64-24 12 16 Arizona St PACs 6-1 .895 25 10 36 64-35 13 14 Nebraska BTw 7-1 .893 52 14 23 65-31 14 17 Kansas St B12 6-1 .886 41 20 14 65-28 15 12 Baylor B12 6-1 .875 70 2 37 69-39 16 13 UCLA PACs 6-2 .874 3 13 30 64-32 17 18 Utah PACs 6-1 .870 39 26 22 63-28 18 19 Michigan St BTe 7-1 .868 79 15 10 67-28 19 20 Arizona PACs 6-1 .863 29 17 43 62-33 20 15 Southern Cal PACs 5-3 .856 5 21 11 66-27 21 26 West Virginia B12 6-2 .849 14 19 34 62-31 22 21 Clemson ACCa 6-2 .847 21 34 12 63-25 23 24 LSU SECw 7-2 .845 38 30 7 64-25 24 22 Missouri SECe 6-2 .811 42 37 20 61-26 25 28 Stanford PACn 5-3 .809 36 39 3 67-19 26 23 Marshall USAe 8-0 .808 124 16 47 61-34 27 25 Texas A&M SECw 5-3 .801 11 11 52 63-36 28 27 Louisville ACCa 6-2 .792 69 41 15 62-24 29 36 Boise St MWm 6-2 .776 44 29 39 59-30 30 41 Miami-Florida ACCc 5-3 .774 20 31 32 60-29 31 39 Wisconsin BTw 5-2 .768 84 23 17 64-27 32 40 Georgia Tech ACCc 6-2 .763 54 28 56 57-33 33 32 Duke ACCc 6-1 .745 101 42 33 58-27 34 35 Arkansas SECw 4-4 .733 16 27 25 62-28 35 30 East Carolina AA 6-1 .719 106 25 64 56-34 36 37 Colorado St MWm 7-1 .718 86 50 57 53-28 37 38 South Carolina SECe 4-4 .714 10 22 35 61-31 38 46 Central Florida AA 5-2 .697 66 53 29 56-24 39 31 Maryland BTe 5-3 .679 32 44 51 55-28 40 29 Oklahoma St B12 5-3 .668 47 35 53 57-30 41 33 Minnesota BTw 6-2 .667 72 70 38 53-24 42 45 Iowa BTw 5-2 .656 81 62 26 56-23 43 42 Tennessee SECe 3-5 .652 1 46 28 58-25 44 48 Nevada MWw 5-3 .646 50 48 58 54-29 45 34 Virginia Tech ACCc 4-4 .636 35 69 16 57-20 46 52 Memphis AA 4-3 .632 59 51 41 55-26 47 50 Florida SECe 3-3 .632 13 59 24 57-23 48 44 Washington PACn 5-3 .622 55 54 42 54-26 49 47 Oregon St PACn 4-3 .617 31 47 54 54-28 50 43 Brigham Young Xind 4-4 .614 30 36 55 56-31 51 49 Rutgers BTe 5-3 .607 34 65 60 51-27 52 51 Penn St BTe 4-3 .594 48 80 27 54-21 53 57 Louisiana Tech USAw 5-3 .591 58 63 66 50-28 54 55 Boston College ACCa 5-3 .584 76 73 46 52-24 55 53 Kentucky SECe 5-3 .577 74 57 59 52-28 56 58 Utah St MWm 5-3 .544 85 85 45 51-23 57 59 California PACn 4-4 .540 28 24 104 51-40 58 66 North Carolina ACCc 4-4 .523 23 33 92 51-38 59 60 Houston AA 4-3 .519 92 52 40 55-26 60 56 Texas B12 3-5 .519 12 75 31 53-22 61 65 Cincinnati AA 4-3 .515 73 49 65 52-30 62 54 Virginia ACCc 4-4 .515 56 77 50 51-24 63 62 Northwestern BTw 3-4 .504 40 71 44 52-24 64 70 Ga Southern SunB 6-2 .481 127 56 77 48-31 65 64 Syracuse ACCa 3-5 .458 17 83 49 51-23 66 68 Michigan BTe 3-5 .438 33 72 48 52-24 67 61 Pittsburgh ACCc 4-4 .432 82 66 61 51-27 68 71 Texas Tech B12 3-5 .428 19 38 99 49-38 69 72 Northern Ill MACw 6-2 .426 122 58 83 48-32 70 78 Rice USAw 4-3 .423 89 84 78 46-29 71 67 Temple AA 4-3 .423 104 79 62 49-26 72 73 Air Force MWm 5-2 .423 117 89 79 44-28 73 74 N Carolina St ACCa 4-4 .416 64 76 69 46-28 74 63 Arkansas St SunB 4-3 .411 99 90 68 46-26 75 69 Washington St PACn 2-6 .407 15 40 81 51-35 76 80 Navy Xind 4-4 .399 88 67 67 49-29 77 75 Iowa St B12 2-5 .398 7 55 82 48-32 78 77 Middle Tenn USAe 5-3 .388 95 86 87 44-30 79 79 Toledo MACw 5-3 .387 102 64 101 45-33 80 76 Indiana BTe 3-4 .384 57 45 106 47-37 81 84 Western Mich MACw 5-3 .373 116 81 97 43-31 82 92 La-Lafayette SunB 4-3 .368 93 68 91 45-32 83 81 San Diego St MWw 4-3 .360 115 94 63 45-23 84 95 Illinois BTw 4-4 .358 65 82 95 43-31 85 83 South Alabama SunB 5-2 .357 121 99 73 42-24 86 85 Fresno St MWw 3-5 .345 53 60 96 46-33 87 91 Central Mich MACw 5-4 .330 107 95 70 43-25 88 98 UT-El Paso USAw 4-3 .328 91 93 107 39-30 89 86 Bowling Green MACe 5-3 .324 113 88 93 43-30 90 94 Western Ky USAe 3-4 .322 97 43 111 45-38 91 82 San Jose St MWw 3-4 .320 71 91 76 44-27 92 88 Colorado PACs 2-6 .319 26 61 94 46-33 93 89 Purdue BTw 3-5 .306 63 87 86 44-30 94 87 UA-Birmingham USAe 4-4 .297 96 78 110 41-34 95 93 Florida Atl USAe 3-5 .282 43 97 90 40-27 96 90 Akron MACe 4-4 .241 118 108 75 40-23 97 101 Vanderbilt SECe 2-6 .227 18 101 80 41-25 98 100 Wyoming MWm 3-5 .214 61 105 109 36-28 99 97 Southern Miss USAw 3-5 .209 62 111 108 36-28 100 102 Kansas B12 2-5 .206 46 117 74 38-21 101 109 Ball St MACw 3-5 .202 112 92 98 41-29 102 99 South Florida AA 3-5 .201 77 112 84 39-24 103 96 UT-San Antonio USAw 2-6 .188 68 109 71 41-23 104 103 Florida Int USAe 3-5 .184 105 115 89 37-24 105 108 Tulane AA 2-5 .171 78 114 85 38-24 106 106 Old Dominion USAe 3-5 .162 108 74 123 37-38 107 107 Wake Forest ACCa 2-6 .154 67 124 72 37-20 108 116 Texas St SunB 4-3 .149 128 110 113 35-28 109 104 Ohio U MACe 4-5 .146 110 121 100 35-23 110 110 Hawaii MWw 2-6 .143 83 113 102 37-26 111 105 La-Monroe SunB 3-4 .135 111 125 105 34-23 112 112 New Mexico MWm 2-5 .130 100 96 119 36-32 113 113 UN-Las Vegas MWw 2-6 .122 60 106 122 34-31 114 114 Army Xind 2-5 .114 98 104 121 34-31 115 111 Buffalo MACe 3-5 .113 126 98 114 36-31 116 115 Massachusetts MACe 2-7 .112 109 100 117 35-31 117 123 Miami-Ohio MACe 2-7 .094 90 120 116 32-26 118 121 Connecticut AA 1-6 .091 75 119 88 36-22 119 120 Tulsa AA 1-6 .087 80 103 118 35-31 120 117 Appalachian St SunB 2-5 .086 123 102 115 35-30 121 119 North Texas USAw 2-6 .073 119 107 112 35-29 122 122 SMU AA 0-7 .071 6 127 120 29-26 123 118 Kent St MACe 1-7 .065 94 126 103 33-22 124 124 Eastern Mich MACw 2-6 .054 87 128 126 24-29 125 125 Troy St SunB 1-7 .045 103 116 124 29-31 126 127 New Mexico St SunB 2-6 .037 125 123 127 25-32 127 126 Georgia St SunB 1-7 .032 114 118 128 25-34 128 128 Idaho SunB 1-6 .031 120 122 125 27-30 *****