Ken Ashby's AccuRatings

National Football League (NFL) AccuRatings

Winner of Todd Beck's "Best Predictive System" award in 2008 145-111 vs Spread (99.9%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2013 138-118 vs Spread (97.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2014 165-90 StraightUp (99.6%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2015 74-51-10 (59.2%) vs Spread in Beck's PT for Second Half 2015 162-92 Confidence (94.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2016 165-91 Confidence (97.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2017 167-87 Confidence (99.0%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 140-116 vs Spread (98.5%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2018 163-92 Confidence (95.4%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 138-118 vs Spread (95.1%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2019 135-121 vs Spread (96.2%ile) in ESPN Pigskin Pick'em in 2020

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***** Ken Ashby's NFL AccuRatings through Sunday, February 7, 2021 (Final) NFL Home Advantage = 2 points To predict point spread, subtract PS ratings after adding 2 points to home team. To predict over/under, add OU ratings. Rnk Prv Team Div W-L Pct Sch Off Def PS-OU 1 2 Tampa Bay Ns 15-5 .769 3 1 8 58-28 2 1 Kansas City Aw 16-3 .765 16 3 10 56-27 3 3 Buffalo Ae 15-4 .745 14 7 7 55-25 4 4 Green Bay Nn 14-4 .744 24 2 11 56-27 5 5 New Orleans Ns 13-5 .721 12 4 3 57-25 6 6 Seattle Nw 12-5 .667 19 6 15 54-27 7 7 Baltimore An 12-6 .654 28 5 1 58-23 8 8 LA Rams Nw 11-7 .651 6 14 2 55-21 9 9 Pittsburgh An 12-5 .635 31 16 6 53-22 10 10 Cleveland An 12-6 .599 25 13 24 49-27 11 11 Miami Ae 10-6 .597 30 19 17 50-24 12 12 Indianapolis As 11-6 .597 32 11 13 52-25 13 13 Tennessee As 11-6 .592 29 8 22 51-28 14 14 Arizona Nw 8-8 .512 20 17 14 51-24 15 15 Las Vegas Aw 8-8 .503 13 10 30 48-29 16 16 Chicago Nn 8-9 .483 10 26 4 50-19 17 17 San Francisco Nw 6-10 .455 2 9 12 53-25 18 18 New England Ae 7-9 .445 15 25 5 51-19 19 19 Minnesota Nn 7-9 .443 17 12 25 49-27 20 20 LA Chargers Aw 7-9 .431 27 21 23 48-24 21 21 Washington Ne 7-10 .426 26 27 9 48-19 22 22 Carolina Ns 5-11 .407 1 23 20 48-23 23 23 NY Giants Ne 6-10 .388 11 29 16 46-20 24 24 Dallas Ne 6-10 .368 21 15 28 48-28 25 25 Atlanta Ns 4-12 .364 4 18 19 50-25 26 26 Denver Aw 5-11 .355 7 28 18 46-21 27 27 Detroit Nn 5-11 .334 8 22 32 44-29 28 28 Philadelphia Ne 4-11-1 .331 9 24 21 47-23 29 29 Cincinnati An 4-11-1 .302 22 30 26 44-22 30 30 Houston As 4-12 .294 23 20 29 47-27 31 31 NY Jets Ae 2-14 .211 5 32 27 40-20 32 32 Jacksonville As 1-15 .163 18 31 31 41-22 *****